Epi on the Island 2010 Conference Module 1: “Introduction to Animal Health Risk Modelling” August 10 – 13, 2010 Instructors: Dr. Francisco J. Zagmutt Senior Risk Analysis Consultant VOSE Consulting Dr. Javier Sanchez CFIA Research Chair- Risk Analysis Canadian Regulatory Veterinary Epidemiology Network (CRVE net) Atlantic Veterinary College Course Content: The course will introduce the basic concepts related to the qualitative and quantitative assessment of risks associated with the importation of animal and animal products. During this 4 day course, concepts of scenario pathway modelling, probability distributions, uncertainty and variability analysis, Bayesian inference, sensitivity analysis will be presented and discussed. All the theoretical concepts will be applied using real world examples using the simulation package ModelRisk.